PLS 315-01

http://pewforum.org/Politics-and-Elections/Much-Hope-Modest-Change-for-Democrats-Religion-in-the-2008-Presidential-Election.aspx

http://pewforum.org/Politics-and-Elections/A-Post-Election-Look-at-Religious-Voters-in-the-2008-Election.aspx

Religion & voting: polarization

Two religious gaps between parties

  • attendance gap
    • frequency of worship service
  • affiliation gap
    • denomination can be predictive

2004 African-American protestant voting patterns (attendance gap invalid for AfAm)

  • weekly attenders, AfAm
    • Bush 17%
    • Kerry 83%
  • less frequent, AfAm
    • Bush 8%
    • Kerry 92%

Substantive Factors

  • religious & political propositions seen as directly linked
  • religion is most important factor

Compositional Factors

  • religion is one factor among others
    • race
    • income
    • edu
    • history
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